A few months ago, I wrote a post analyzing how Flower Garden had done since it was released. It was a story with lots of ups and downs, tales of trials and failure, but ending on a positive, optimistic note. It went on to become one of the most read posts in this blog, and the comments were all very encouraging. Clearly, people, and especially other developers, are hungry for this kind of data.
So here we go with the second part. How did Flower Garden fare after the new year? Was it just the Christmas purchasing frenzy that had a momentary effect on sales, or was there something more to it?
Recap and Overview
Here’s where we left off last time. The unusual part was how profits increased as soon as I added in-app purchases to Flower Garden in early December. It made for a very atypical sales plot.
And here is how things look now. This plot includes the previous data so it’s easier to contrast before and after. The area in blue is the new data since the last post.
Just glancing at that chart makes it clear that that the increase around Christmas wasn’t a fluke. It actually wasn’t even done going up. After all the spikes, and the weekly ups and downs, Flower Garden ended up settling to about $1,500/week. And that, even in California, I would consider it to be a comfortable living. What a different from the $50/day it was making last year!
So what exactly happened there? Let’s look at the new data in more detail.
At a glance, there are three, very different sections.
The first one starts with a significant increase in sales (A), and is in large part due to being featured on the App Store worldwide as a Staff Favorite. It’s a nice spike, but it’s nothing like the x10 spikes other developers have seen with App Store features. That’s because the Staff Favorite slot, even though it’s a very prestigious one, it does not appear on the iPhone, only on iTunes. I do all my browsing and shopping through iTunes, but apparently I’m in the minority, so the effect on sales is greatly reduced.
That spike is also in part due to my last “numbers post”, which happened right at the same time (not completely accidentally). The page attracted about 15,000 views in a few days, so I’m sure a few of them translated in people checking out Flower Garden out of curiosity.
The second spike isn’t hard to guess: It’s the weekend of February 14th, Valentine’s Day. The more things happen at once and the more something is in the public eye, the more of an impact it has. PR people have known that for a long time, and it was really brought home for me back in December.
Fortunately, I managed to make quite a few things happen in the days leading to Valentine’s Day weekend:
- I released an update with couple new in-app purchases: A new set of seeds (Seeds of Love), and a greenhouse garden, for $0.99 each.
- I sent out a newsletter to the 25,000 subscribers to the mailing list announcing the new items.
- I put Flower Garden on sale for $0.99 (down from the regular price of $2.99).
- Several web sites, including TouchArcade, covered the sale and the new update, giving it lots of visibility.
- Flower Garden Free was the free app for February 14th on the Valentine’s Day Calendar.
All of that combined to cause the big spike in profits (B). You really need to look at the first plot to put it in perspective. Two days in around Valentine’s Day had higher profit than the initial release spike back in April of last year!
Of course, everything that goes up, must eventually come down. So the weeks following Valentine’s Day profits went rapidly down. It was at the very end of April that I started working on Lorax Garden, so for that period of time I wasn’t able to do anything related to Flower Garden. For a while sales were dropping quite rapidly, but they eventually flattened out to about $1,500/week (C).
The good thing about having consumable items as in-app purchases (fertilizer in this case), is that profits are related to active user base, not just initial sales. So even though the amount of downloads decreased significantly during this time, the user base had grown a large amount, and with it, the daily profits.
Flower Garden Free
Back in December, there seemed to be a connection between the amount of downloads of the free version of Flower Garden and profits. They both picked up right around the time I added in-app purchases, although I was never able to tell if it was cause or consequence.
This is the amount of downloads of the free version for this period of time.
It stays pretty regularly at about 800 downloads per day (which is not much compared to a lot of free versions out there), and has a massive spike on Valentine’s Day (caused by word of mouth, lots of sent bouquets, and the Valentine’s Day Calendar).
Notice that the App Store feature for Flower Garden (full version) in January had virtually no effect on downloads of the free version. It seems that people are willing to buy something full price without trying the free version first if Apple features it.
Both versions of Flower Garden (free and full) have in-app purchases in them. Even though there’s a higher percentage of users with the full version that buy in-app purchases, the free version is much more popular and the majority of the revenue comes from the free version (orange). This is a tren that was already noticable around the holidays, but now is much more clear, with over 50% of the revenue coming from in-app purchases in the free version.
The data for this post stops at May 5th. That’s because on May 6th I released a new set of seeds and gave Flower Garden away for free as part of the Mother’s Day promotion. As soon as the dust settles from that, I’ll write a third post detailing how it turned out.